could brazil really miss out on the 2026 world cup?! where it's

Deyi Xiabing

3 min read

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13-03-2025

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Could Brazil Really Miss Out on the 2026 World Cup? A Deep Dive into the Possibility

The mere suggestion that Brazil, a five-time World Cup champion and a nation synonymous with football, could miss the 2026 tournament feels almost sacrilegious. Yet, the escalating concerns surrounding the Seleção's recent performances and the increasingly competitive landscape of international football paint a picture that, however improbable, is not entirely impossible. While a complete absence from the tournament remains highly unlikely, the possibility, however remote, warrants a thorough examination.

The Shifting Sands of South American Qualification:

The primary route to the 2026 World Cup for Brazil, and all South American nations, is through the CONMEBOL qualifiers. This grueling competition sees ten teams battling it out over a two-year period, with the top six automatically qualifying for the tournament. Historically, Brazil has dominated this process, often securing qualification with matches to spare. However, recent events suggest a shift in the balance of power.

The rise of Argentina, winners of the 2022 World Cup, is a significant factor. Their renewed strength, coupled with the consistent improvement of teams like Colombia, Ecuador, and even Uruguay, creates a far more competitive environment. These nations are no longer simply aiming to avoid relegation; they are actively challenging Brazil for top spots.

Furthermore, the introduction of a new qualifying format for the 2026 World Cup further complicates matters. While the specifics may vary slightly from previous iterations, the expanded format – with 48 teams participating in the finals – doesn't necessarily translate to an easier path to qualification for South American nations. While more teams qualify overall, the increased competition for those coveted spots within CONMEBOL means that even the slightest slip-up can have major consequences.

Internal Challenges within the Seleção:

Beyond the external pressures of the qualifying campaign, Brazil faces internal challenges that could potentially jeopardize their qualification chances. The recent cycle has seen a degree of managerial instability, with several coaches appointed and dismissed within a relatively short timeframe. This constant change has disrupted squad cohesion and tactical consistency, preventing the team from establishing a clear identity and playing style.

The search for a post-Neymar era is another significant hurdle. While there are undoubtedly talented players emerging within the Brazilian system, replacing a player of Neymar's caliber and influence is a monumental task. Finding a player who can not only replicate his goalscoring prowess but also his leadership and playmaking abilities will be critical for the Seleção's success in the qualifiers. The development and integration of younger players need to be handled carefully and strategically to avoid disrupting the balance of the team.

The squad selection process itself has faced criticism. Certain players have been inexplicably overlooked, while others have been given chances despite inconsistent performances at club level. A clear and consistent selection policy based on merit and form is paramount to ensuring that the best possible team is consistently fielded.

The Specter of Underperformance:

Perhaps the most concerning aspect is the team's recent on-field performances. While Brazil boasts a wealth of talented individuals, the collective performance hasn't always lived up to expectations. Inconsistencies in both attack and defense have led to unexpected defeats and draws in crucial matches, highlighting a lack of cohesion and a failure to consistently execute tactical plans.

The pressure to perform, coupled with the weight of expectation associated with the Brazilian national team, can sometimes be paralyzing. The psychological aspect of competing at the highest level cannot be underestimated, and addressing the mental resilience of the squad will be crucial in navigating the demanding qualifying process.

The Long Road Ahead:

While the scenario of Brazil missing the 2026 World Cup remains unlikely, it’s not entirely outside the realm of possibility. Their history, talent pool, and national passion for football suggest that they will ultimately qualify. However, complacency cannot be afforded. The team, its coaching staff, and the Brazilian football federation must address the aforementioned challenges proactively and decisively.

To avoid this improbable but increasingly plausible scenario, Brazil must prioritize the following:

• Consistent Management: Appointing a long-term manager with a clear tactical philosophy and the ability to build a strong squad identity is crucial.
• Youth Development: Investing heavily in youth development programs to nurture future generations of talented players is paramount.
• Tactical Flexibility: Adapting the team's tactics to suit different opponents and situations is essential for success in the highly competitive CONMEBOL qualifiers.
• Improved Squad Selection: A clear and consistent selection policy, based on merit and form, is needed to ensure the best players are consistently selected.
• Mental Fortitude: Addressing the psychological aspects of high-pressure situations will be vital in ensuring consistent performance.

The road to the 2026 World Cup is long and arduous, and for Brazil, it's likely to be their toughest qualifying campaign in decades. While the chances of them missing out remain slim, the very possibility should serve as a wake-up call. A return to the glory days requires a concerted effort at every level of the game, from youth academies to the national team itself. Only then can the Seleção ensure they take their rightful place on the world stage in 2026.